Op-Ed
Waiting for Certainty: What Outbreak Investigations Reveal About Strategic Communications

Foodborne illness outbreak investigations rarely unfold in a straight line. As new evidence emerges, hypotheses are refined, laboratory findings are evaluated, traceback investigations continue, and our understanding of an outbreak evolves. For those working in food safety, this is not surprising. It is how science works.
The ongoing Cyclospora outbreak investigation is another reminder of that reality. Early laboratory findings suggested one conclusion before additional evidence provided greater clarity. As the investigation progressed, public attention understandably focused on what had changed and why.
The challenge is that science and decision-making rarely operate on the same timeline.
While investigators continue gathering evidence, people across the food system are making decisions in real time, from consumers deciding what to serve their families to businesses assessing operational impacts and public health officials determining how best to communicate evolving information.
None of those decisions wait for an investigation to end. That reality has important implications for how we think about strategic communications.
Science and Decision-Making Operate on Different Timelines
The scientific process is intentionally deliberate. Investigators gather evidence, evaluate competing hypotheses, verify laboratory findings, conduct traceback activities, and continually refine their understanding as new information becomes available. Recommendations evolve because the evidence evolves.
Outside the investigation, however, the timeline looks very different. Consumers are deciding whether food is safe to serve to their families, retailers are determining whether products should remain on shelves, manufacturers are assessing operational impacts and considering next steps, healthcare providers are deciding whether a patient's symptoms warrant additional questions or testing, and public health officials are balancing the need to communicate quickly while ensuring the information is accurate. None of these decisions pause while additional evidence is collected.
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As the Cyclospora outbreak investigation has demonstrated, while scientists continue evaluating new evidence, people across the food system are making decisions based on the best information available at that moment. This creates a natural tension.
Scientists are appropriately asking:
- What does the evidence tell us?
- How confident are we in these findings?
- What additional information do we need?
- What remains uncertain?
Everyone else is asking: What should I do today?
Recognizing this difference is one of the first steps toward more effective strategic communications.
Different Audiences; Different Decisions
Strategic communications often begin with a familiar exercise: identifying the audience. Is it industry? Consumers? Healthcare providers? Regulators? The media?
Audience identification is important, but it is only the beginning. A more useful question may be: What decisions are different audiences trying to make?
That subtle shift changes how we approach communications.
People do not experience an outbreak simply as members of an audience. They experience it as decision-makers.
Although everyone is following the same investigation, they are not asking the same questions. Consumers are asking whether food is safe to eat. Industry members are asking what the investigation means for their operations and regulatory responsibilities. Healthcare providers are asking how evolving information should inform patient care. Public health officials are asking how to communicate evolving evidence quickly while providing the context needed for informed decision-making.
Each audience is experiencing the same event. Each is making a different decision.
The Cyclospora outbreak investigation illustrates those differences clearly. As recommendations evolve, so do the questions people are asking—not because they doubt the science, but because they need to understand what the evolving evidence means for the decisions they face.
When communications begin with an understanding of those decisions, it becomes easier to determine what information different audiences need, how much detail is appropriate, and how best to provide meaningful context.
The goal is not to deliver different facts to different audiences. The goal is to provide the same evidence in ways that support different decisions.
Communicating Through Uncertainty
One of the greatest challenges in food safety communications is that outbreak investigations often require communicating before every answer is known. There can be a natural temptation to wait until uncertainty has been resolved. In many situations, however, that simply is not possible because people still need information.
The ongoing Cyclospora investigation demonstrates this challenge well. As investigators gather additional evidence, public recommendations evolve accordingly. That evolution reflects the scientific process, not inconsistency. However, without appropriate context, changing recommendations can easily be misinterpreted.
The goal is not to eliminate uncertainty. The goal is to communicate through it.
That means being clear about what is known, being transparent about what remains under investigation, and being prepared to explain why recommendations may change as additional evidence becomes available.
Most audiences understand that science evolves. What creates frustration is not that conclusions change, but that people do not understand why they changed. Providing that context helps audiences interpret new information as part of an ongoing investigation rather than as evidence that previous communications were unreliable.
In that way, transparency about uncertainty can strengthen, rather than weaken, credibility.
Beyond Releasing Information
Food safety has always depended on rigorous science. Increasingly, it also depends on helping people understand the science well enough to make informed decisions while evidence continues to evolve.
Communications are often evaluated by how quickly information is released. Speed, accuracy, and transparency all matter. But another measure deserves equal attention: Did people receive the information they needed to make the decisions they faced?
Long after the details of the current Cyclospora outbreak investigation have faded, the communications lessons it highlighted will remain relevant. Future investigations will undoubtedly present different scientific questions, but the communications challenge will be much the same: helping people make informed decisions while the science continues to evolve.
Outbreak investigations remind us that communication is not simply about moving information from one place to another. It is about creating understanding.
When strategic communications begin with an understanding of the decisions that different audiences are trying to make, they become more than a vehicle for sharing information. They become an essential part of helping people navigate complex situations with greater clarity and confidence.
This investigation will eventually conclude, but the communications lessons it offers should endure.
That may be one of the most valuable lessons that outbreak investigations continue to offer, not only about food safety, but also about the role of effective, strategic communications in supporting informed decision-making.









